An Examination of the Factors that Influence the Provision of Credit to the Private Sector in Nigeria
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.57125/FEL.2023.12.25.06Keywords:
private sector credit, broad money supply, bank reserves, exchange rateAbstract
The determinants of private sector credit investigation are a topic that should inspire domestic investors and policy makers, more so in a country like Nigeria where investment funding is constrained by several factors. The objective of the present study was to investigate the factors that influenced the credit to the private sector in Nigeria. By including foreign interest rate, the study improved on existing literature as it accommodates the impact of exogenous factor that could influence the domestic credit provision in Nigeria. This study employed both the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and the Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) with monthly series that spanned the period from 2007M1 to 2021M12 to determine the factors that influence private sector credit in Nigeria. The used variables were: the private sector credit, bank reserves, (PhD Economics), the exchange rate, federal funds rate, prime lending rate, broad money supply and inflation rate. The study revealed that a long-run relationship existed among the variables. In addition, the exchange rate and the US federal fund rate negatively and significantly impacted on the private sector credit in the two models. However, the broad money supply, inflation rate, bank reserves and prime lending rate were shown to impact positively and significantly on the private sector credit. The study concluded that even though boosting domestic credit provision was paramount, excess credit extension could affect the achievement of macroeconomic objectives of price and exchange rate stability. Consequently, it is the contention of the study that fiscal measures should be aligned with monetary policy measures in order to improve the productivity. The improved productivity is capable of controlling inflation and fluctuations in the exchange rate, thereby relieving the pressure on the monetary authorities to boost domestic credit on one hand and on the other hand struggle to maintain both price and exchange rate stability.
References
Adom, P. K., Amakye, K., Barnor, C., & Quartey, G. (2015). The long-run impact of idiosyncratic and common shocks on industry output in Ghana. OPEC Energy Review, 39(1), 17–52. https://doi.org/10.1111/opec.12039
Al-Shammari, N., & El-Sakka, M. (2018). Macroeconomic determinants of credit growth in OECD countries. International Journal of Business, 23(3), 218–334. https://ijb.cyut.edu.tw/var/file/10/1010/img/864/V233-1.pdf
Akani, H. W. & Onyema, J. I. (2017). Determinants of credit growth in Nigeria: A multi-dimensional analysis. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 8(20), 201–215. https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/234648048.pdf
Aryestya, R., & Marta, J. (2022). Non-linear impact of domestic credit on economic growth in Southeast Asia countries. In Proceedings of the Eighth Padang International conference on economics education, economics, business and management, accounting and entrepreneurship (PICEEBA-8 2021) (pp. 511–520). Atlantis Press. https://www.atlantis-press.com/proceedings/piceeba-8-21/125976388
Asiamah, T. A., Steel W. F., & Ackah, C. (2021). Determinants of credit demand and credit constraints among households in Ghana. Heliyon, 7(10), Article e08162. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e08162
Baoko, G., Acheampong, I. A., & Ibrahim, M. (2017). Determinants of bank credit in Ghana: A bounds-testing cointegration approach. African Review of Economics and Finance, 9(1), 33–61. https://hdl.handle.net/10520/EJC-716ab5833
Berger, A. N. (1995). The profit-structure relationship in banking – tests of market-power and efficiency-structure hypotheses. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 27, 404–431. https://doi.org/10.2307/2077876
Bernanke, B. S., & Gertler, M. (1995). Inside the black box: The credit channel of monetary policy transmission. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9(4), 27–48. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.9.4.27
Cheong, D., & Boodoo, E. (2008). The monetary transmission mechanism: A closer look at the interest rate channel in Trinidad and Tobago. In 29th Annual review seminar research department Central Bank of Barbados. Central Bank of Trinidad and Tobago. https://www.centralbank.org.bb/viewPDF/documents/2022-02-10-05-49-12-MonetaryTransmissionMechanismACloserLookattheInterestRateChanneinTT.pdf
Colombo, V., & Paccagnini, A. (2020). Does the credit supply shock have asymmetric effects on macroeconomic variables?. Economics Letters, 188, Article 108958. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2020.108958
Danthine, J. P., & Donaldson, J. B. (2005). Intermediate Financial Theory (2nd ed.). Elsevier Academic Press.
Disyatat, P. (2011). The bank lending channel revisited. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 43(4), 711–734. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4616.2011.00394.x
Ejokor, L,, Konboye, J. & Nteegah, A. (2016). Banking sector capitalization and deposit money bank’s profitability in Nigeria. International Journal of Social Sciences and Management, 3(3), 203–213. https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/41e9/632ec68ef5f905261c16c67eae8a15767b42.pdf
Eseyin, O, S., Adama, I. J., Olopade, B. C., Ogbaro, E. O., Ahmed, A. V., & Suleiman, Z. O. (2022). Determinants of private sector credit and its implication on job creation in Nigeria (1984–2020). African Journal of Business and Economic Development, 2(12), 78–116. https://www.ijaar.org/articles/ajbed/v2n12/ajbed2125.pdf
Fereidouni, H. G., Al-mulalia, U., & Mohammed, M. A. H. (2017). Wealth effect from real estate and outbound travel demand: The Malaysian case. Current Issues in Tourism, 20(1), 68–79. https://doi.org/10.1080/13683500.2014.882886
Frimpong, J. M., & Marbuah, G. (2010). The determinants of private sector investment in Ghana: An ARDL approach. European Journal of Social Sciences, 15(2), 250–261.
Funyina, T. K. (2020). Determinants of bank credit to the private sector in Zambia. Bank of Zambia. https://www.boz.zm/Determinants_of_Bank_Credit_to_the_Private_Sector_in_Zambia.pdf
Gbenga, O., James, S. O., & Adeyinka, A. J. (2019). Determinant of private sector credit and its implication on economic growth in Nigeria: 2000-2017. American Economic and Social Review, 5(1), 10–20. https://doi.org/10.46281/aesr.v5i1.242
Ghosh, S. (2010). Credit growth, bank soundness and financial fragility: Evidence from Indian banking sector. South Asia Economic Journal, 11(1), 69–98. https://doi.org/10.1177/139156141001100105
Gozgor, G. (2013). Determinants of domestic credit levels in emerging markets: The role of external factors. Emerging Markets Review, 18, 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2013.11.003
Hahn, L. A. (2015). Economic theory of bank credit. Oxford University Press.
Herzer, D., Nowak-Lehmann, D. F., & Siliverstovs, B. (2006). Export-led growth in Chile: Assessing the role of export composition in productivity growth. The Developing Economies, 44(3), 306–328. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1746-1049.2006.00019.x
Hurlin, C., & Kierzenkowski, R. (2002). A theoretical and empirical assessment of the bank lending channel and loan market disequilibrium in Poland. National Bank of Poland. https://static.nbp.pl/publikacje/materialy-i-studia/22_en.pdf
Islam, D. (2022). Determinants of domestic bank credit to private sectors in Bangladesh: An empirical investigation. Journal of Economic Impact, 4(2), 65–74. https://doi.org/10.52223/jei4022208
Kalim, R., & Shahbaz, M. (2009). Remittances and poverty nexus: Evidence from Pakistan. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 29, 46–58. http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/285
Kasingu, S., Sabok, G., Tuam, D., Hamua, J. Su, J., & Sharma, P. (2020). Determinants of private sector credit in Papua New Guinea. Griffith Asia Institute. https://www.griffith.edu.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0024/945240/JPRWP11-web.pdf
Kashyap, A., & J. Stein (1995). The impact of monetary policy on bank balance sheets. Carnegie-Rochester conference series on public policy, 42, 151–195. https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-2231(95)00032-U
Kurozumi, E., & Hayakawa, K. (2009). Asymptotic properties of the efficient estimators for cointegrating regression models with serially dependent errors. Journal of Econometrics, 149(2), 118–135. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2008.11.003
Levine, R. (2005). Finance and growth: Theory and evidence. In P. Aghion & S. N. Durlauf (Eds.), Handbook of economic growth (Vol. 1, Part A, pp. 865–934). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0684(05)01012-9
McKinnon, R. I. (1973). Money and capital in economic development. Brookings Institution Press.
Miller, M. H. (1998). Financial markets and economic growth. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 11(3), 8-15. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-6622.1998.tb00498.x
Nampewo, D., Tinyinondi, G. A., Kawooya, D. R., & Ssonko, G. W. (2016). Determinants of private sector credit in Uganda: The role of mobile money. Financial Innovation, 2(13). https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-016-0033-x
Ndanshau, M. O., & Semu, A. M. (2023). Determinants of bank credit supply to the private sector in Tanzania. African Journal of Economic Review, 11(2), 92–115. https://www.ajol.info/index.php/ajer/article/view/244580
Nzeh, I. C., Uzoechina, B. I., Eze, M. A., Imoagwu, C. P., & Ozoh, J. N. (2022). Private sector credit provision in periods of fluctuating capital inflows in Nigeria: Does each regime change influence credit provision differently?. International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, 6(1), 98–113. https://dx.doi.org/10.47772/IJRISS.2022.6112
Obeng-Amponsah, W., Sun, Z., Bimaruci, H., & Havidz, H. (2019). Determinants of domestic credit to the private sector in Ghana: Application of vector auto-regressive method. In Q. Zhang, Z. Liu, & J. Su (Eds.), Proceedings of The first international symposium on management and social sciences (ISMSS 2019) (pp. 132–139). Atlantis Press. https://doi.org/10.2991/ismss-19.2019.28
Okere, C., & Ugonma, N. (2020). Effects of bank credits on the manufacturing sector output in Nigeria (1981-2018). International Journal of Science and Management Studies (IJSMS), 3(4), 74–82. https://doi.org/10.51386/25815946/ijsms-v3i4p108
Olweny, T., & Shipho, T. M. (2011). Effects of banking sectoral factors on the profitability of commercial banks in Kenya. Economics and Finance Review, 1(5), 1–30.
Ozili, P. K., & Ndah, H. (2021). Impact of financial development on bank profitability [Preprint]. Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEAS-07-2021-0140
Ozili, P. K., Oladipo, O., & Iorember, P. T. (2023). Effect of abnormal increase in credit supply on economic growth in Nigeria [Preprint]. African Journal of Economic and Management Studies. https://doi.org/10.1108/AJEMS-02-2022-0036
Pakasa, U. I., Yacob, Y., Jelihi, N. A., Ali, J. K., & Andrew, L. (2023). Influencing domestic credit to private sector in Malaysia: Application of vector auto-regressive method. International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, 13(1), 283–297. http://dx.doi.org/10.6007/IJARAFMS/v13-i1/16315
Phillips, P. C. B., & Hansen, B. (1990). Statistical inference in instrumental variables regression with I(1) processes. The Review of Economic Studies, 57, 99–125. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297545
Shijaku, G., & Kalluci, I. (2013). Determinants of bank credit to the private sector: The case of Albania. Bank of Albania. https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/79092/
Sogules, I. W. & Nkoro, E. (2016). Bank credits and performance of manufacturing sector in Nigeria, 1970-2013. The Journal of Social Sciences Research, 2(7), 129–132. https://ideas.repec.org/a/arp/tjssrr/2016p129-132.html
Stiglitz, J. (2018). The theory of credit and macroeconomic stability. In A. G. Dastidar, R. Malhotra, & V. Suneja, Economic theory and policy amidst global discontent (pp. 127–183). Routledge India.
Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W. (1993). A simple estimator of cointegrating vectors in higher order integrated systems. Econometrica, 61(4), 783–820. https://doi.org/10.2307/2951763
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2023 authors

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
